Reviews

Part of Statistics, polls, and charts: a verification guide

Counts, percentages, rates, indexes, and averages compared

Statistical measures compared across counts, proportions, percentages, rates, ratios, indexes, means, medians, change measures, and seasonal adjustment.

What to take away

  • Counts answer how many recorded units, not how common an event is.
  • Percentages and proportions require a named denominator.
  • Rates add a population and often a time basis.
  • Index values measure change relative to a base, not an ordinary quantity.
  • Mean and median describe different features of a distribution.

Statistical language is compact, which makes substitution easy. A count becomes a rate. A percentage-point increase becomes a percent increase. An index level is described as a price. A mean becomes what a typical person experienced. Keep the unit in every note, formula, chart, and sentence.

Quick comparison

Measure Basic form Good use Frequent error
Count Number of recorded units Workload, events, people, transactions Ignoring population size or duplicates
Proportion Part divided by whole Share of a defined group Wrong or shifting denominator
Percentage Proportion multiplied by 100 Readable share Confusing points with percent change
Rate Events divided by population or exposure, often over time Frequency across unequal groups Omitting exposure or period
Ratio One quantity divided by another Relative size of distinct quantities Calling every ratio a rate
Index Relative measure against a base Change in prices, production, or other composite Reading 120 as a physical amount
Mean Sum divided by count Center when distribution permits Distortion by extreme values
Median Middle ordered value Center for skewed distributions Treating it as the average of all values

Counts, proportions, and percentages

A count depends on a recording system. State whether it represents reports, incidents, charges, people, visits, devices, claims, or rows. Remove duplicates only when the definition calls for unique units.

A proportion's numerator belongs within its denominator. A percentage is the same relationship expressed per hundred. If 30 of 120 respondents choose an option, the result is 25 percent of those 120 respondents, subject to design and missing-response rules.

The CDC's archived epidemiology lesson on ratios, proportions, and rates distinguishes these forms and defines a rate as event frequency in a defined population over a specified period. The formulas arise in epidemiology, but the unit discipline applies across news data.

Rates and ratios

Rates allow comparison when group sizes or exposure differ. A traffic-death rate might use deaths per 100,000 residents or per distance traveled. Those denominators answer different questions.

Name the numerator, denominator, scale factor, geography, and period. Check whether age standardization, exposure weighting, or smoothing was used. Do not compare a crude rate with an adjusted one as if they were identical.

A ratio may compare quantities that do not form a part-to-whole relationship, such as students per teacher. Avoid calling it a percentage unless the denominator represents the whole containing the numerator.

Absolute, percent, and percentage-point change

If a share rises from 20 percent to 25 percent:

  • absolute change is 5 percentage points
  • relative percentage change is 25 percent
  • the new level is 25 percent

Each statement is mathematically correct and rhetorically different. Report the start and end values beside the change when readers could confuse them. For a move from a very small base, give counts as well as percentages.

Indexes

An index combines or rescales data relative to a base, often set to 100. A value of 120 does not mean $120 or 120 items. It means the defined index is 20 percent above its base level, subject to its construction and revisions.

Check the index population, basket or components, weights, formula, base period, seasonal status, and whether the published change uses rounded or unrounded levels. Do not compute a household's exact cost change from a broad index without matching the concept.

Mean, median, and distribution

The mean uses every value and can move sharply with extremes. The median identifies the middle after ordering values and is less sensitive to extreme tails. Neither alone describes variation, clusters, or inequality.

Show the distribution or additional quantiles when the shape matters. For income, response time, home prices, or claim size, a median may describe the middle case better than a mean. For total resource planning, the mean may still matter.

Adjusted and unadjusted series

Seasonal adjustment estimates and removes recurring within-year patterns so short-term movements are easier to see. It does not remove every irregular event or make a series final.

The BLS seasonal adjustment methodology explains that recurring calendar and seasonal effects can mask underlying movement, that recent factors may be revised, and that separately adjusted components may not sum exactly to a directly adjusted total. Label every series and compare like with like.

Choose language by measure

  • "The agency recorded 400 reports" for a count.
  • "Reports equaled 12 per 10,000 accounts" for a rate.
  • "The share rose 3 percentage points, from 40 to 43 percent" for a proportion change.
  • "The median wait was 18 minutes" for the middle observation.
  • "The seasonally adjusted index rose 0.4 percent from May" for an adjusted index change.

Common questions

Is per capita always a rate?

It is a ratio to population and may be called a rate in common use. Include the period when events accumulate over time.

Can the mean and median both be correct?

Yes. They summarize different aspects of the same distribution.

Why can adjusted data change later?

New observations and revised seasonal factors can change recent estimates.

Should percentages total 100?

Only when categories are exhaustive, mutually exclusive, use one denominator, and rounding permits it.

More in Reviews

Guides

Statistics, polls, and charts: a verification guide

Statistics verification guide for definitions, source data, populations, denominators, calculations, uncertainty, comparisons, charts, language, and corrections.

Guides

How to audit a poll or survey story

Poll audit workflow for sponsor, population, sample, recruitment, fieldwork, questions, weighting, uncertainty, subgroup comparisons, headlines, and corrections.

Maintenance

Statistics and chart verification checklist

Statistics and chart checklist for provenance, definitions, data quality, denominators, calculations, uncertainty, comparisons, axes, labels, review, and correction.

Reviews

Firsthand accounts, records, experts, and reports compared

Evidence source types compared by proximity, scope, independence, strengths, limits, and best uses for checking events, numbers, causes, and quotations.